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Net Promoter Community > Richard's and Laura's Blog > 2008 > September
 

Any guesses what the Vista NPS score looks like for Microsoft?

 

 

Given the lashing they have had in the press, CNET's Don Reisinger lays out the case for building positive word of mouth for the next product:

 

 

"Technology's trickle-down effect is simple: a tech company screws up a product in ways that the tech-savvy crowd will notice, but the mainstream crowd won't. Once that happens, geeks start railing on the product and discuss why it's so bad. Eventually, they start complaining to their family and friends, who don't know much about it and the distaste for products starts entering the mainstream. Once that happens, those people will start talking to others and soon it becomes viral."

 

"And that's exactly why Microsoft can't make the same mistake it made with Vista. That operating system didn't appeal to the geeks and they spent the past year telling the world about it. Once that happened, the world started believing it (regardless of whether or not it was true) and Microsoft has paid the price."

 

"So what does it need to do with Windows 7? Make sure the geeks love it."

 

 

Put this way, Vista just looks like a special case of word of mouth marketing, one in this instance where negative WOM had a multiplicative effect. It's a timely reminder that a relatively small group of highly vocal influencer's can have a disproportionate impact on the brand message so you had better get them on-side early. As Mark Twain said, "I never argue with people who buy their ink by the barrel". Or printer ink cartridges by the ton, apparently.

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Many companies are striving to calculate the benefits of improvements in NPS. And for businesses that focus on customer churn, the economics are often compelling based on just the value of churn reduction.

 

Last week I was watching a presentation by a multi-billion euro service provider who drew out for me another source of economic advantage that I had not been switched on to.

 

 

They made the observation that Net Promoter driven reductions in customer churn resulted in improvements in customer acquisition performance. So what? That's word of mouth right - the whole point of Net Promoter - more promoters creating more new business opportunities for you. But that's not the whole story.

 

 

For them, it turned out that reduced customer churn had meaningful internal operational benefits that directly impacted new customer acquisition. Specifically, management spending less time and resources firefighting customer issues freed them up to focus on growing new opportunities. The flip side being that companies with low NPS and high corresponding churn find themselves diverting significant internal resource and management attention to putting out fires. You certainly can feel this when it's impacting your business. In an extreme case companies can spend their entire management bandwidth struggling to protect revenues that have been damaged by poor customer decisions made years earlier in the interest of short term economics.

 

 

Like word of mouth, this is not the easiest measure to quantify, but if your own experience supports this idea, at least include it in your arguments for investing in an improvement in NPS.

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The airlines continue to provide us with the best laboratory for customer experience management. On the heels of several major airlines attempting to improve their margins by "unbundling" service such as luggage check-in or seat assignment, Southwest launches an ad campaign to make the exact point that they don't unbundle these services.

 

 

Of course, Southwest prefers to refer to unbundling as "nickle and diming" which is a somewhat less flattering view of the practice. Regardless of your viewpoint as to whether charging for extra luggage is "bad profits" - and I would argue that if they are a surprise to the buyer they are - Southwest's response confirms what we would expect in any market; that being the fact that competition ultimately resolves these strategy issues for us. Bad profits are usually met, in a competitive market, with competitors drawing a strong distinction with their own practices. The folks at Southwest obviously had a choice. They could have adopted a similar practice, but instead they chose to forgo the margin opportunity and position their sacrifice as a customer benefit.

 

 

I'll bet that, regardless of the impact of the new airline pricing strategies (you may not be effected by these charges) Southwest has picked up brand equity as part of this exchange of volleys. It may not show up on their balance sheet as quickly as charging for extras, but in the long run, it will be worth more to them.

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The Argument against NPS

Posted by RichardOwen Sep 11, 2008

Many of you, no doubt would have already read the article in the Sloan Management Review by Tim Keiningham et al on the topic of Net Promoter. You missed it? Not a complete surprise. Much to my own chagrin as a Sloan Alumni, the SMR is not exactly mainstream reading. However, it is the absolutely perfect place for Tim to make his arguments against Net Promoter as a methodology. It's a great location for academic arguments.

 

 

As I have argued before, detractors of Net Promoter usually start from a position of self interest, but position themselves as academics in search of a universal truth. Traditional market research firms have made a lot of money developing complex methodologies for measuring satisfaction and loyalty, and in doing so positioning themselves as essential advisors to their clients. In many instances, they have done great work and created value. Regardless, the widespread adoption of Net Promoter represents a simple business challenge that must be met head on. The risks come in three parts.

 

 

First, standardized open metrics threaten a lucrative business stream in metrics design. A client who adopts Net Promoter won't be spending big dollars custom creating a perfect metric. This doesn't mean that they might not benefit from a custom metric, but it changes the value equation and certainly creates enormous price pressure.

 

 

Secondly, Net Promoter, with it's appeal to senior executives and line managers, threatens their client relationships and budgets. In many cases, Net Promoter has been driven by executives outside the market research function, such as in marketing. This is not the client relationship that the market research firm has spent 20 years cultivating. There are many cases also where market researchers have let the Net Promoter initiative, but in those cases the shift in methodology still imperils business relationships. Given Tim's strong stance against NPS, what if a major Ipsos client adopted that methodology? Do you think that might have a relationship impact?

 

 

Finally, a simple metric shifts the nature of competence in service providers. If you are selecting a vendor for a Net Promoter program, what skills do you look for? They might look very different from the competency set that the traditional market research vendor has developed. Process design, systems competency, strategy... all tools that may trump the deep research and statistical expertise that has powered this industry traditionally. Not a positive trend if you are in that business.

 

 

Of course, having a business motive to attack a methodology, doesn't mean you aren't correct in your assertions. Most arguments against NPS generally take one of two forms.

 

 

First, the argument is with the original correlation research. Generally these take the form of a study that shows that NPS may not be the absolutely best metric to correlate to growth in every scenario. Often, the favorite metric of the company doing the study turns out on top. It's hard to make the case, however, that there is no bias whatsoever in these studies.

 

 

When Laura Brooks and Fred Reichheld did the original research on NPS, they were not looking to prove that NPS was a better metric. They simply followed where the research data led them. That's a fundamentally different approach than a study designed to promote one view over another. Put another way, if they hadn't discovered a good story, there simply would have been no outcome published. Satmetrix would continue with it's business, as would Bain.

 

 

By contrast, studies designed to prove another methodology wrong will simply keep seeking data until the particular circumstances prove their point. Put another way, could you imagine that if the data pointed in favor of NPS, the article would be published?

 

 

The second argument is, in my opinion, more condescending. It usually takes the form of a veiled attack on the ability of senior execs or line managers to "understand" this business of customer loyalty. NPS is simple, therefore it appeals to people who "don't understand" the implications of their choice or who are not "trained in research". CEO claims that NPS is an effective business tool are dismissed as somehow based on imcomplete understanding of the situation.

 

 

This is supremely arrogant. If the ultimate goal of all our efforts is business outcomes, not academic purity, these people are our customers. If they are getting results they are happy with, isn't that the ultimate goal? The fact that we don't like the way they got their results doesn't entitle us to run them down.

 

 

It also misses the point as to why executives do adopt Net Promoter. Hint: It's not just the metric.

 

The fixation of the anti-NPS vendors is around the metric, not the system, because they frequently don't value the system. Yet the business owners usually place much higher value on the complete Net Promoter system than just the metric -- the ability to execute closed loop processes, engage frontline employees etc.

 

 

Missing the system is simply missing the point.

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In the world of customer experience, the airlines are the gift that just keeps giving.

 

 

It's not hard to see why. First, most of us have some form of personal experience with airlines to draw on. Travel is not an experience we usually feel ambivalent about, it evokes emotions both positive and negative. No 7's and 8's in this game.

 

 

It's also an interesting industry to study, with all the elements of government regulation coupled with varied levels of competition. It's an economist's dream case study. But the real kicker is this: hardly a week goes by without new grist to the customer experience mill. Here's my favorite, emotion-filled debate from the last few weeks.

 

 

The excitement started with United airlines heavy marketing presence during the Beijing Olympics. You couldn't tune into the coverage without being impressed by their beautiful graphics and iconic "rhapsody in blue" soundtrack, signaling the launch of their new business and first class service. Clever stuff. Then the debates began.

 

 

Bob Garfield writes advertising reviews for Adage magazine, and duly made his opinions known on this advertising approach. What's interesting here is not his comments on the ad, but his comments on the strategy of advertising this kind of product at all. What Bob is basically saying is, "why bother with the ad if the product is weak?". Put another way, if people are so disillusioned with the flying experience, isn't advertising a waste of money?

 

 

Let's get this straight. The advertising industry is making a case that advertising is a waste of money if the fundamental product experience isn't good? Could it be that they are suggesting that investments in a better experience would make more sense? Wow.

 

 

The floodgates are opened. Typical comment:

 

 

"If there's one thing I've learned in my 40 years in this business, it's this: Nothing kills a bad product faster than good advertising. The spot may leave you with a positive feeling about United...but once you've flown with them, you learn the truth and will never book another United flight ever in your life."

- Don Watters, Omaha, NE

 

 

In the world of the Internet, customers getting the facts behind your service is not hard. Flyerguide.com's wiki has the data on United's new business/first class. Only 24 out of 192 long range planes actually offer the new service today as the fleet is converted. So, buy into the ad, get your first class ticket, and prepare to join the lottery to see if you will experience the advertised service. The only certainty you can have, apparently, is that if you choose to fly a route serviced by Boeing 777 aircraft you have a guaranteed zero percent chance of the new service, as no aircraft have been converted to date.

 

How effective is that advertising spend, when the facts behind the service are quickly debated amongst the public and the negative word of mouth so easily fueled by data on the web? I don't know, but my guess is - not very.

 

 

I don't have the NPS scores for airlines at my fingertips. But it's interesting that the next day after I read Garfield's article, wsj.com conducted a poll amongst it's readers about their airline experience this summer. Just shy of 60% of the respondents gave them a D or F grade. Not exactly scientific, but not encouraging for the airlines either. And it inspired another long outpouring of issues, all dirty linen washed in the public space.

 

 

My point is this. Companies who spend millions advertising products that don't generate positive word of mouth are fighting their customers at their own expense. Cheaper, I would imagine, to invest those dollars getting your product or service right and get some positive word of mouth going. In any case, swimming upstream with advertising dollars looks like hard work.

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