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Richard's and Laura's Blog

3 Posts tagged with the wom tag

"All the women are strong, all the men are good looking, and all the children are above average."

Garrison Keillor, Lake Wobegone Days

 

Most performance measure in business are relative. Market share, growth rates, earnings. We benchmark against others all the time. But with NPS, many companies don't really know where they stand, and where they stand could be the ultimate measure of performance.

 

Several years ago, Bain and Company did some great research to understand how profit pools got divided up by industry, and how NPS played a role in that. They found that every industry had a “bright line”, an NPS score which separated winners from the pack, and that those who entered the winners circle (so to speak) enjoyed a disproportionate share of the profits in their industry. This shouldn't surprise anyone; in most industries profits are not linearly correlated to size or even market share. It's not a fair game - it turns out it's rigged in favor of NPS leaders.

 

What's really interesting to me, however, was that the bright line that separated the leaders was not uniform across all industries or geographies. Rather, it varied significantly by industry. This should come as no surprise: we usually see that Business to Business NPS results are often significantly lower and less variable than Business to Consumer. We also know that customers compare and formulate perspectives based on their expectations, which can vary according to prior experience and price. We teach customers what to expect in our industry, then we give them relative pricing to help set their expectations around our role as discounters or premium players.

 

Companies spend precious little time thinking about issues of comparable performance, which seems odd given its importance. After all, knowing what your score is only matters if you have some sense as to what it should be. This disconnect ripples through the corporation in multiple ways. Companies without a clear sense of NPS “situational awareness” will struggle to set appropriate goals, compensation metrics or process. I'd even go as far as to say that measuring NPS without a clear sense of target is worse than not measuring at all.

 

Part of the problem is the challenge around getting good benchmarks. We do publish benchmark data, so for those industries we cover, you can get an accurate sense of where you should be (and an independent view of where you are trending). But that data will never be detailed enough for some, so they often find themselves doing specific benchmarking studies. Others tell me that they make a benchmark of the data that is published in the book. While I agree it's aspirational to try and reach USAA's lofty NPS goals, it's probably neither feasible nor even desirable, assuming you are not a major insurance provider. Nor is it practical to simply target the top quartile and straight line trend your own NPS towards it as a goal setting technique. You are pretty much assured of falling short initially as NPS just doesn't improve in a straight line.

 

If you are determined to avoid detailed target setting and outside benchmarks, there is still hope. Stack ranked employee, or region or segment performance provides you with the opportunity to challenge the lower performing segments to raise their game to the average. That alone improves your score and starts moving you in the right direction; although it doesn't help you understand if your entire organization is on track for financial success.

 

One other thought. Absolute NPS does matter in one important way. Industries with low "threshold NPS" - a low target that gets you in the winner's circle - have fewer absolute promoters than those where only a high score wins. The absolute number of promoters can be thought of as word of mouth capacity, so their absence reduces the overall positive effect for industry participants and the industry in general. By all means, out-run the other guy for success, but to get real organic growth you still need an army of promoters.

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Grading on a Curve

Posted by RichardOwen Aug 23, 2010

I was being shuttled to a hotel near Chicago’s O’Hare airport the other evening when I couldn’t help but notice United Airlines billboard proclaiming their status for on time performance:

United.jpg

 

Oddly, the next day I read the following headline:


US Air cruises to top service rank” from TheSunNews.com, of Charlotte. Looks like everyone is a winner!
But there are a few serious lessons to be learnt in the application of goals and data and these data points serve as a timely reminder. First, all comparisons are relative. United defines it’s competitive set very clearly – “America’s five largest global carriers”. If they are correct in that assumption – and their customers really see that as the choice they have – then this is a valid claim. If their customers are actually selecting from either a larger US pool of choices – for example Jet Blue – or from an international airline such as British Airways, then the comparison is pretty meaningless. Net Promoter Score works essentially the same way. Companies who outstrip their defined competitive set gain market advantage, comparisons with non-competitors don’t make a lot of sense. Of course, if your definition of competition is more driven by marketing considerations than reality that your customers experience, watch out.


The second lesson is choice of metric, and here United has made two choices. The first was to focus on on-time arrival, which one presumes is one of the biggest drivers of customer loyalty and success in the airline industry.  I have no reason to doubt this. But I am suspicious of the definition of the metric.


Those of you who fly a lot will notice that your flights tend to get in ahead of schedule when they leave on time. As the Wall Street Journal pointed out, some of this is due to airlines increasing the “block times” that they base their schedule on. Pad the block time, improve the metric. Is this good for the consumer?


At some level, yes. Better you make your connection as a result of buffering than miss it because there is a more “honest” schedule. However, does it really represent a good performance measure or is it the triumph of good marketing over good customer experience?


It’s natural for marketing to want to build on a good story and I’m not suggesting firms should not do that. As long as it doesn’t confuse them as to the real state of their operations. I have no reason to believe that United is internally driven by external metrics and every reason to hope that they focus on meaningful measures as they make business choices. But it’s natural, for example, that when you see a firm touting “90% customer satisfaction” in their advertising (as many do) that you become concerned that they become consumers of their own advertising mythology.


On a more optimistic note, and by contrast, we increasingly see a number of firms evoking word of mouth marketing directly in support of their advertising campaigns. State Farm, Tempurpedic  - firms who are making their advertising strategy a call to referential marketing presumably understand two important lessons: customers trust word of mouth more than advertising, and you must be pretty confident in your NPS to make it a lynchpin of your campaign.

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In a recent HBR blog, McKinsey consultants Magni and Atsmon point out that in China, to paraphrase the famous maxim on politics, all word of mouth is local. They further suggest that word of mouth is a more powerful force for Chinese consumers than for their equivalent in the US or UK.

 

As Net Promoter Score is essentially a word of mouth measure, this intrigued us. Would NPS be more powerful in China than the west?

 

We know that there are cross cultural differences in NPS – we (Satmetrix) publish benchmarking if that’s important to you – but this question goes further, suggesting a higher correlation between NPS and growth in the middle kingdom.

 

I’d suggest the jury is still out on this one. As nations modernize, consumers tend to build higher levels of trust in brands which has the effect of reducing their reliance on word of mouth. If I show up in a new city, I don’t ask locals if the Starbucks is any good in Dallas, I just assume that the brand carries their promise. It is only when brand proliferation and choice saturates the marketplace that people refocus their efforts on recommendation.

 

Or at least that’s the theory. Maybe a society being thrust rapidly into 21st century consumerism with it’s local, social infrastructure still intact will never unlearn the practice of reliance of word of mouth over word of advertising.

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